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Red84
4828.8
402827.3
414521.0
Blue75
566721.7
300327.6
12024.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8079506070901008475

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#11
28.80.2
28.328.5
Auto5.0
Teleop15.0
End8.7
red by 1.2
3003
#10
27.60.0
27.827.8
Auto5.3
Teleop12.1
End10.2
Second
27.30.2
26.827.0
Auto3.9
Teleop14.2
End9.2
red by 2.9
120
#15
24.40.0
24.624.6
Auto3.2
Teleop16.9
End4.2
Third
4145
#38
21.00.2
20.620.8
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.0
blue by 0.7
5667
#42
21.70.0
22.022.0
Auto3.8
Teleop14.8
End3.2