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Red105
264125.1
402827.3
150730.0
Blue48
313821.8
217212.4
45114.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714120608010010548

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.01.8
25.327.2
Auto5.7
Teleop20.6
End3.6
red by 8.1
3138
#34
21.80.7
17.217.9
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End4.1
Second
27.32.0
21.523.6
Auto3.9
Teleop14.2
End9.2
red by 13.1
451
#53
14.10.7
12.012.8
Auto5.3
Teleop6.3
End2.5
Third
2641
#14
25.12.0
20.222.3
Auto5.5
Teleop14.2
End5.4
red by 12.7
2172
#37
12.40.7
9.710.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
76%HAB Docking oddsEarned10%HAB Docking oddsMissed