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Red64
478019.5
260316.1
300327.6
Blue60
635518.6
222827.5
402827.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60643040507080901006460

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#10
27.60.5
21.922.4
Auto5.3
Teleop12.1
End10.2
red by 0.1
2228
#18
27.50.0
21.921.9
Auto5.6
Teleop14.7
End7.2
Second
4780
#33
19.50.5
20.120.6
Auto4.8
Teleop11.8
End2.8
blue by 7.8
27.30.0
23.623.5
Auto3.9
Teleop14.2
End9.2
Third
2603
#30
16.10.5
14.815.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End5.3
blue by 2.5
6355
#28
18.60.0
14.914.9
Auto3.7
Teleop10.3
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
60%HAB Docking oddsEarned84%HAB Docking oddsEarned