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Red68
693621.6
705515.4
313821.8
Blue47
412117.0
788513.4
478019.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49532030406070806847

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3138
#34
21.81.4
18.019.4
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End4.1
red by 2.4
4780
#33
19.50.2
20.620.3
Auto4.8
Teleop11.8
End2.8
Second
6936
#23
21.61.4
16.718.1
Auto4.0
Teleop16.1
End1.4
red by 4.6
4121
#52
17.00.2
16.015.8
Auto4.7
Teleop8.9
End3.4
Third
7055
#45
15.42.4
11.914.3
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End2.5
red by 2.1
7885
#58
13.40.4
13.713.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed48%HAB Docking oddsMissed