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Red58
602722.7
452111.6
4828.8
Blue72
37928.9
313821.8
278319.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5472203040506080901005872

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#11
28.80.4
25.826.2
Auto5.0
Teleop15.0
End8.7
blue by 0.2
379
#1
28.90.3
28.528.8
Auto3.3
Teleop17.6
End8.0
Second
6027
#20
22.70.7
16.817.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End3.1
red by 0.9
3138
#34
21.80.3
19.419.7
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End4.1
Third
4521
#41
11.60.4
9.09.4
Auto2.8
Teleop6.8
End2.0
blue by 7.7
2783
#22
19.30.3
19.820.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsEarned57%HAB Docking oddsEarned