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Red58
313821.8
525427.2
460110.5
Blue50
635518.6
461120.1
597312.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605230407080905850

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.1
27.127.2
Auto3.5
Teleop17.4
End6.3
red by 7.1
4611
#26
20.10.0
21.321.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.5
End5.0
Second
3138
#34
21.80.1
19.719.8
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End4.1
red by 3.2
6355
#28
18.60.0
16.816.9
Auto3.7
Teleop10.3
End4.7
Third
4601
#55
10.50.2
9.69.8
Auto4.4
Teleop3.1
End3.1
blue by 1.8
5973
#51
12.30.0
11.511.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed