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Red40
705515.4
319314.4
101417.5
Blue69
452111.6
12024.4
264125.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50612030407080904069

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1014
#39
17.50.5
18.217.7
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End3.3
blue by 7.6
2641
#14
25.10.8
24.225.0
Auto5.5
Teleop14.2
End5.4
Second
7055
#45
15.40.8
14.613.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End2.5
blue by 9.0
120
#15
24.40.8
23.924.6
Auto3.2
Teleop16.9
End4.2
Third
3193
#59
14.40.5
14.614.1
Auto5.6
Teleop5.4
End3.4
red by 2.8
4521
#41
11.60.8
9.410.2
Auto2.8
Teleop6.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed43%HAB Docking oddsMissed