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Red46
326619.2
217212.4
788513.4
Blue58
411917.7
112618.9
263216.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46463035405055604658

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3266
#25
19.20.0
17.817.8
Auto3.2
Teleop11.4
End4.6
red by 0.2
1126
#32
18.90.9
15.516.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End6.7
Second
7885
#58
13.40.1
14.014.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End3.4
blue by 4.4
4119
#27
17.71.5
15.216.8
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End3.2
Third
2172
#37
12.40.0
10.710.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End2.3
blue by 3.8
2632
#44
16.31.5
13.615.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed45%HAB Docking oddsEarned