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Red68
452111.6
412117.0
37928.9
Blue64
364131.8
45114.1
541325.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59753040507080901001106864

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#1
28.90.8
28.329.1
Auto3.3
Teleop17.6
End8.0
blue by 2.8
31.80.5
32.231.7
Auto3.3
Teleop20.5
End7.9
Second
4121
#52
17.00.8
16.517.3
Auto4.7
Teleop8.9
End3.4
blue by 8.1
5413
#24
25.10.5
25.424.9
Auto3.8
Teleop19.7
End1.5
Third
4521
#41
11.60.8
10.711.5
Auto2.8
Teleop6.8
End2.0
blue by 2.5
451
#53
14.10.5
13.613.2
Auto5.3
Teleop6.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
55%HAB Docking oddsEarned62%HAB Docking oddsMissed