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Red46
12024.4
278319.3
691610.0
Blue63
263216.3
461120.1
693621.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58632040801004663

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#15
24.40.6
24.323.7
Auto3.2
Teleop16.9
End4.2
red by 2.8
6936
#23
21.60.6
22.221.6
Auto4.0
Teleop16.1
End1.4
Second
2783
#22
19.30.6
20.019.3
Auto4.1
Teleop11.8
End3.4
blue by 0.7
4611
#26
20.10.6
20.720.1
Auto5.6
Teleop9.5
End5.0
Third
6916
#60
10.00.9
10.910.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.7
End1.0
blue by 6.3
2632
#44
16.30.9
17.116.3
Auto3.9
Teleop9.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed