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Red70
234011.1
313821.8
112618.9
Blue31
541813.5
201011.1
705515.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5046304060707031

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3138
#34
21.81.5
20.522.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End4.1
red by 6.4
7055
#45
15.41.2
16.615.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End2.5
Second
1126
#32
18.91.5
17.018.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End6.7
red by 5.5
5418
#56
13.51.2
14.613.5
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End3.0
Third
2340
#47
11.11.5
9.511.1
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End4.2
Level
2010
#49
11.10.8
11.911.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed