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Red73
478016.2
178730.5
99998.7
Blue65
412113.6
705513.1
319315.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584320801007365

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.4
30.330.7
Auto5.8
Teleop21.1
End3.6
red by 15.1
3193
#14
15.40.3
15.115.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.1
End5.4
Second
16.20.4
15.916.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End2.5
red by 2.6
13.60.3
13.313.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End3.1
Third
8.70.1
9.08.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End3.2
blue by 4.4
13.10.3
12.813.1
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End2.4