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Red46
178730.5
478016.2
44678.2
Blue45
412113.6
319315.4
705513.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574320804645

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.5
29.128.6
Auto5.8
Teleop21.1
End3.6
red by 15.1
3193
#14
15.40.3
15.215.5
Auto4.8
Teleop5.1
End5.4
Second
16.20.5
14.614.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End2.5
red by 2.6
13.60.3
12.512.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End3.1
Third
4467
#15
8.20.5
10.09.4
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End1.2
blue by 4.8
13.10.3
12.913.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed