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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332901020405060479

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
291
#6
16.91.1
15.816.9
Auto2.8
Teleop8.6
End5.5
red by 7.2
2172
#12
9.61.2
11.310.1
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Second
16.21.1
14.115.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End2.5
red by 7.9
4467
#15
8.21.2
9.48.2
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End1.2
Third
2.02.3
-0.22.1
Auto3.4
Teleop-1.5
End0.2
blue by 4.0
6927
#13
6.01.2
6.45.1
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed3%HAB Docking oddsMissed