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Red44
99984.8
428416.7
103819.3
Blue29
446711.7
101415.9
581116.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414902060801001204429

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.4
16.817.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.1
End4.7
red by 2.4
5811
#25
16.81.2
15.614.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Second
4284
#19
16.70.4
18.218.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.4
End5.4
red by 0.9
1014
#11
15.91.2
16.815.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End4.2
Third
9998
#20
4.80.4
3.53.8
Auto3.0
Teleop1.2
End0.7
blue by 6.8
4467
#23
11.71.2
14.313.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed