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Red26
581116.8
320113.3
414515.9
Blue56
999910.3
265612.4
402828.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5753304050607080902656

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5811
#25
16.81.9
19.717.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.1
End1.7
blue by 11.7
28.50.0
27.427.4
Auto4.4
Teleop12.8
End11.3
Second
4145
#22
15.91.9
17.615.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End3.9
red by 3.6
12.40.0
12.512.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End1.7
Third
3201
#24
13.31.9
16.614.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End0.8
red by 3.0
10.30.0
10.510.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed55%HAB Docking oddsEarned