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Red49
44713.6
326618.0
320113.3
Blue47
348417.0
428416.7
566725.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516402040801001204947

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3266
#15
18.00.1
17.617.7
Auto3.6
Teleop10.8
End3.5
blue by 7.0
5667
#13
25.01.1
25.524.4
Auto4.0
Teleop18.5
End2.5
Second
447
#2
13.60.1
15.615.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End3.1
blue by 3.3
3484
#17
17.01.1
15.614.6
Auto2.7
Teleop11.2
End3.1
Third
3201
#24
13.30.1
14.814.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End0.8
blue by 3.4
4284
#19
16.71.1
19.318.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.4
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsMissed