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Red70
332427.1
30222.0
572416.3
Blue62
178720.1
541322.9
414513.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7159405080907062

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.10.2
27.627.5
Auto4.5
Teleop16.8
End5.8
red by 4.2
5413
#12
22.90.2
22.422.6
Auto4.4
Teleop16.3
End2.2
Second
302
#1
22.00.2
22.622.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End8.3
red by 1.9
1787
#39
20.10.2
19.719.9
Auto5.0
Teleop13.1
End2.0
Third
5724
#34
16.30.2
16.716.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.6
End3.1
red by 2.4
4145
#45
13.90.2
13.513.7
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End3.4