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Red52
581119.6
350420.3
170814.9
Blue79
14422.4
326617.1
313817.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5862405070805279

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.30.1
20.420.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End8.2
blue by 2.1
144
#13
22.40.1
23.123.2
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End3.3
Second
5811
#22
19.60.1
19.719.6
Auto3.8
Teleop13.1
End2.7
red by 2.2
3138
#17
17.30.1
18.018.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End2.5
Third
1708
#40
14.90.1
14.914.9
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End3.7
blue by 2.2
3266
#11
17.10.1
17.717.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End5.0