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Red58
415019.3
27914.4
402821.4
Blue42
572416.3
414513.9
178720.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48421020306070805842

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.41.4
17.518.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.5
End8.7
red by 1.3
1787
#39
20.10.3
13.113.4
Auto5.0
Teleop13.1
End2.0
Second
4150
#16
19.31.4
13.915.3
Auto3.0
Teleop11.8
End4.5
red by 3.0
5724
#34
16.30.3
13.113.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.6
End3.1
Third
279
#21
14.41.4
14.215.5
Auto4.5
Teleop3.7
End6.3
red by 0.5
4145
#45
13.90.3
13.213.5
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed