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Red48
428415.3
693615.7
428314.4
Blue35
15617.9
13087.3
301014.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404220253035455055604835

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6936
#41
15.71.1
13.414.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End2.3
blue by 2.1
156
#25
17.90.8
13.312.4
Auto4.1
Teleop10.2
End3.6
Second
4284
#18
15.31.1
14.415.5
Auto3.2
Teleop8.0
End4.1
red by 0.7
3010
#28
14.60.8
14.713.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End3.4
Third
4283
#23
14.41.1
10.211.3
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End2.9
red by 7.1
1308
#56
7.30.8
11.610.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed