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Red48
381411.6
101416.8
14422.4
Blue64
313817.3
55418.9
332427.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46441020304050607080904864

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#13
22.40.2
15.715.9
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End3.3
blue by 4.6
27.12.5
16.719.2
Auto4.5
Teleop16.8
End5.8
Second
1014
#24
16.80.2
12.913.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End3.1
blue by 2.1
554
#7
18.92.5
12.715.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.1
End5.6
Third
3814
#47
11.60.2
14.814.9
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End2.5
blue by 5.8
3138
#17
17.32.5
12.514.9
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed