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Red38
696415.8
428314.4
574012.1
Blue56
428415.3
33716.7
69511.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3840202530354550553856

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6964
#48
15.80.9
11.911.0
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End2.2
blue by 0.9
337
#30
16.70.9
12.313.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End3.1
Second
4283
#23
14.40.9
11.310.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End2.9
blue by 0.9
4284
#18
15.30.9
15.516.4
Auto3.2
Teleop8.0
End4.1
Third
5740
#53
12.10.9
12.811.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End2.8
red by 0.7
695
#29
11.40.9
10.511.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed