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Red63
541322.9
377713.5
581119.6
Blue34
220214.3
238322.0
574012.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434610203040506070806334

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5413
#12
22.92.4
15.317.7
Auto4.4
Teleop16.3
End2.2
red by 0.9
22.01.1
15.214.1
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End7.3
Second
5811
#22
19.62.4
13.616.1
Auto3.8
Teleop13.1
End2.7
red by 5.3
2202
#43
14.31.1
15.214.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End2.3
Third
13.52.4
12.214.6
Auto5.7
Teleop3.9
End3.8
red by 1.4
5740
#53
12.11.1
13.512.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed