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Red41
69511.4
14422.4
696415.8
Blue58
603220.1
220214.3
377713.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42443035405055604158

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#13
22.40.1
17.517.6
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End3.3
red by 2.4
20.11.1
14.615.7
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End4.0
Second
6964
#48
15.80.1
11.011.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End2.2
red by 1.5
2202
#43
14.31.1
14.115.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End2.3
Third
695
#29
11.40.1
11.411.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End2.3
blue by 2.1
13.51.1
13.214.3
Auto5.7
Teleop3.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed