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Red40
33716.7
381411.6
27914.4
Blue41
30222.0
45111.9
59739.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4438203050604041

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
337
#30
16.70.1
14.214.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End3.1
blue by 5.2
302
#1
22.00.5
19.520.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End8.3
Second
279
#21
14.40.1
14.614.4
Auto4.5
Teleop3.7
End6.3
red by 2.5
451
#46
11.90.5
8.48.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Third
3814
#47
11.60.1
12.512.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End2.5
red by 2.2
5973
#57
9.30.5
8.59.0
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed