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Red49
131718.6
45217.5
603220.1
Blue67
33716.7
402721.7
348416.8
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454640505560654967

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.7
17.117.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End4.0
blue by 1.7
4027
#19
21.72.6
15.618.2
Auto2.7
Teleop13.2
End5.8
Second
1317
#15
18.60.7
17.618.3
Auto4.9
Teleop8.8
End4.9
red by 1.8
3484
#14
16.82.6
13.916.5
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End3.7
Third
4521
#59
7.50.7
7.98.6
Auto1.6
Teleop3.4
End2.5
blue by 9.3
337
#30
16.72.6
14.116.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsMissed