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Red39
59739.3
260314.7
572416.3
Blue43
349212.0
743414.2
428415.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3538203050603943

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5724
#34
16.30.7
13.614.3
Auto4.6
Teleop8.6
End3.1
red by 1.0
4284
#18
15.30.7
15.015.7
Auto3.2
Teleop8.0
End4.1
Second
2603
#49
14.70.7
10.110.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End4.0
red by 0.5
7434
#52
14.20.7
10.110.9
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Third
5973
#57
9.30.7
9.09.7
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End1.5
blue by 2.7
3492
#32
12.00.7
11.312.1
Auto4.6
Teleop3.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed