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Red25
12812.9
377713.5
45111.9
Blue38
683413.1
103813.4
15617.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424225303540452538

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.51.7
15.714.1
Auto5.7
Teleop3.9
End3.8
blue by 4.4
156
#25
17.90.2
16.115.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.2
End3.6
Second
128
#54
12.91.7
15.413.7
Auto3.6
Teleop8.0
End1.3
blue by 0.5
1038
#27
13.40.2
10.410.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End3.1
Third
451
#46
11.91.7
8.97.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End1.9
blue by 1.2
6834
#55
13.10.2
13.513.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed