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Red56
101416.8
461118.5
414513.9
Blue33
33716.7
170814.9
693615.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4453203040506070805633

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4611
#37
18.51.6
16.818.5
Auto5.8
Teleop6.8
End5.9
red by 1.7
337
#30
16.72.3
16.714.4
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End3.1
Second
1014
#24
16.81.6
14.215.8
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End3.1
red by 1.1
6936
#41
15.72.3
16.814.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End2.3
Third
4145
#45
13.91.6
10.412.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End3.4
blue by 0.9
1708
#40
14.92.3
17.214.9
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed