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Red45
69511.4
379214.7
746013.7
Blue52
260314.7
12812.9
101416.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4042102030506070804552

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3792
#42
14.70.8
15.316.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End2.0
blue by 2.1
1014
#24
16.80.1
15.815.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End3.1
Second
7460
#36
13.70.8
12.313.1
Auto4.5
Teleop7.6
End1.6
blue by 1.0
2603
#49
14.70.1
12.612.5
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End4.0
Third
695
#29
11.40.8
9.910.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End2.3
blue by 1.5
128
#54
12.90.1
11.511.4
Auto3.6
Teleop8.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed