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Red56
350420.3
379214.7
348416.8
Blue56
461118.5
748616.5
59739.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5647203040607080905656

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End8.2
red by 1.8
4611
#37
18.5
Auto5.8
Teleop6.8
End5.9
Second
3484
#14
16.8
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End3.7
red by 0.3
16.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End4.1
Third
3792
#42
14.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End2.0
red by 5.4
5973
#57
9.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsEarned24%HAB Docking oddsMissed