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Red49
178720.1
67711.9
381411.6
Blue62
428314.4
238322.0
743414.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444820304060704962

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1787
#39
20.10.4
19.319.7
Auto5.0
Teleop13.1
End2.0
blue by 1.8
22.01.6
19.921.6
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End7.3
Second
677
#44
11.90.4
11.611.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End1.8
blue by 2.4
4283
#23
14.41.6
12.814.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End2.9
Third
3814
#47
11.60.4
11.211.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End2.5
blue by 2.6
7434
#52
14.21.6
12.614.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed