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Red53
132519.1
128515.8
46187.2
Blue64
614014.2
687815.4
571911.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443902060805364

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.10.2
19.119.3
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.1
red by 3.8
15.40.6
14.214.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End3.4
Second
15.80.2
15.816.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End5.0
red by 1.7
14.20.6
13.013.6
Auto3.1
Teleop8.5
End2.5
Third
4618
#14
7.20.2
7.27.3
Auto2.8
Teleop2.3
End2.1
blue by 4.0
5719
#10
11.20.6
10.010.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End3.4