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Red38
775713.3
46187.2
766415.8
Blue39
559611.6
583418.6
401512.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57602040801003839

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.81.1
20.919.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End3.6
blue by 2.8
18.61.4
24.122.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End7.4
Second
7757
#12
13.31.1
18.017.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.5
red by 1.3
12.01.4
16.915.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End2.4
Third
4618
#14
7.21.1
14.913.9
Auto2.8
Teleop2.3
End2.1
blue by 4.4
11.61.4
15.714.3
Auto2.2
Teleop4.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed58%HAB Docking oddsMissed