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Red57
60707.9
583418.6
128515.8
Blue36
430810.1
614014.2
571911.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585402040801001205736

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.60.5
22.722.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End7.4
red by 4.4
14.21.0
17.616.6
Auto3.1
Teleop8.5
End2.5
Second
15.80.5
18.918.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End5.0
red by 4.6
5719
#10
11.21.0
15.814.8
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End3.4
Third
6070
#13
7.90.5
13.512.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End0.6
blue by 2.2
4308
#15
10.11.0
17.616.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
60%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed