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Red51
614014.2
401512.0
613517.4
Blue40
559611.6
430810.1
60707.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5644020805140

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.40.1
21.621.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End5.0
red by 5.8
11.60.1
14.114.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.8
End4.6
Second
14.20.1
16.116.0
Auto3.1
Teleop8.5
End2.5
red by 4.0
4308
#15
10.10.1
15.115.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.0
End0.7
Third
12.00.1
15.515.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End2.4
red by 4.1
6070
#13
7.90.1
12.112.0
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed4%HAB Docking oddsMissed