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Red45
132519.1
128515.8
46187.2
Blue9
430810.1
766415.8
401512.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4742102030607080459

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.10.8
19.919.1
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.1
red by 3.4
15.80.7
16.415.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End3.6
Second
15.80.8
16.615.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End5.0
red by 3.8
12.00.7
12.712.0
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End2.4
Third
4618
#14
7.20.8
8.07.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.3
End2.1
blue by 2.9
4308
#15
10.10.7
10.810.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.0
End0.7