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Red50
245121.4
999817.0
29115.9
Blue41
254413.8
178728.2
411912.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586202040801001205041

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.3
22.121.8
Auto5.2
Teleop10.7
End5.5
blue by 6.8
1787
#13
28.21.2
29.428.2
Auto5.7
Teleop19.3
End3.2
Second
9998
#19
17.00.3
17.617.3
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End4.2
red by 3.3
2544
#20
13.81.2
14.713.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End3.8
Third
291
#6
15.90.3
15.014.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End5.3
red by 3.1
4119
#12
12.81.2
14.313.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
66%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed