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Red58
178728.2
319316.2
574015.9
Blue59
245121.4
15623.4
411912.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646202040801001205859

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1787
#13
28.20.2
28.228.0
Auto5.7
Teleop19.3
End3.2
red by 4.8
156
#2
23.40.4
23.823.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.5
End5.7
Second
3193
#15
16.20.2
16.416.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End5.1
blue by 5.2
21.40.4
21.821.4
Auto5.2
Teleop10.7
End5.5
Third
15.90.2
16.115.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.5
End5.1
red by 3.2
4119
#12
12.80.4
13.212.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed43%HAB Docking oddsEarned