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Red45
426913.8
254413.8
478015.0
Blue61
446715.9
265613.9
37925.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4459020801004561

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4780
#22
15.00.2
14.815.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.6
End2.7
blue by 10.0
379
#4
25.00.3
25.325.0
Auto3.0
Teleop13.1
End8.9
Second
4269
#16
13.80.2
13.613.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.8
End2.0
blue by 2.1
15.90.3
16.215.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.6
End2.7
Third
2544
#20
13.80.2
13.613.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End3.8
blue by 0.1
2656
#11
13.90.3
14.213.9
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed56%HAB Docking oddsEarned