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Red31
446715.9
412112.3
541812.7
Blue56
319316.2
245121.4
265613.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4560020801003156

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.90.8
14.513.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.6
End2.7
blue by 5.5
21.40.1
23.123.1
Auto5.2
Teleop10.7
End5.5
Second
5418
#14
12.71.0
13.512.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End2.7
blue by 3.5
3193
#15
16.20.1
19.319.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End5.1
Third
4121
#21
12.30.8
14.713.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End2.9
blue by 1.6
2656
#11
13.90.1
14.714.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed57%HAB Docking oddsMissed