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Red54
346511.8
233314.7
680016.3
Blue41
557815.4
279513.8
316313.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383502060805441

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#49
16.30.9
14.215.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End2.2
red by 0.9
5578
#38
15.40.8
12.213.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End2.0
Second
2333
#43
14.70.9
11.212.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End2.5
red by 0.9
2795
#48
13.80.8
10.311.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End4.3
Third
3465
#56
11.80.9
10.411.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.2
End2.7
blue by 1.8
3163
#46
13.60.8
10.911.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed