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Red44
689117.8
393117.5
680914.3
Blue61
316313.6
241023.1
452320.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4044202530355055604461

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6891
#23
17.80.7
12.913.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End4.1
blue by 5.2
23.12.2
15.417.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.7
End7.5
Second
3931
#55
17.50.7
14.515.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End3.0
blue by 2.9
20.42.2
14.316.4
Auto4.4
Teleop10.8
End5.2
Third
6809
#41
14.30.7
10.210.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.0
End2.8
red by 0.7
3163
#46
13.62.2
11.713.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsEarned