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Red49
24248.9
272316.3
593013.7
Blue24
646412.2
602613.9
56219.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383110205060704924

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2723
#19
16.31.5
14.215.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End3.4
red by 2.4
6026
#21
13.91.6
11.49.8
Auto2.5
Teleop7.2
End4.2
Second
5930
#37
13.71.5
13.414.9
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End2.1
red by 1.5
6464
#39
12.21.6
9.27.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End3.2
Third
2424
#20
8.91.5
7.99.4
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End1.7
blue by 1.0
5621
#57
9.91.6
8.57.0
Auto4.4
Teleop2.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed