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Red50
646412.2
237314.3
93218.5
Blue63
455017.7
316313.6
276517.8
27%Model gave it73%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36431020304050605063

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
932
#30
18.51.8
12.914.7
Auto2.9
Teleop11.1
End4.6
red by 0.7
2765
#24
17.81.4
10.612.0
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End3.5
Second
2373
#31
14.31.8
13.415.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End1.1
blue by 3.4
17.71.4
16.117.5
Auto3.4
Teleop10.2
End4.1
Third
6464
#39
12.21.8
7.79.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End3.2
blue by 1.4
3163
#46
13.61.4
13.915.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed