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Red29
680016.3
509815.3
56219.9
Blue49
316010.6
573017.2
393117.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404420305060702949

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#49
16.31.0
16.915.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End2.2
blue by 1.2
3931
#55
17.50.9
16.517.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End3.0
Second
5098
#15
15.31.0
12.311.3
Auto3.9
Teleop8.1
End3.4
blue by 1.9
5730
#14
17.20.9
13.814.7
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End2.3
Third
5621
#57
9.91.0
8.87.8
Auto4.4
Teleop2.9
End2.5
blue by 0.7
3160
#44
10.60.9
10.911.8
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed