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Red41
689117.8
23989.7
246117.5
Blue54
161928.7
747311.6
324716.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354320253040455055604154

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6891
#23
17.80.9
13.614.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End4.1
blue by 10.8
28.71.1
20.521.6
Auto5.1
Teleop13.9
End9.7
Second
2461
#18
17.50.9
13.314.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End2.1
red by 1.3
16.21.1
11.913.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End5.9
Third
2398
#53
9.70.9
6.47.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.4
End1.8
blue by 1.9
7473
#42
11.61.1
8.29.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsMissed