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Red63
141021.0
233314.7
317911.7
Blue48
315210.5
555014.0
93218.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413810203050606348

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.02.0
17.019.0
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End1.5
red by 2.5
932
#30
18.51.3
14.916.2
Auto2.9
Teleop11.1
End4.6
Second
2333
#43
14.72.0
13.615.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End2.5
red by 0.6
5550
#22
14.01.3
13.014.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End2.3
Third
3179
#40
11.72.0
8.210.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End4.1
red by 1.2
3152
#62
10.51.3
8.19.4
Auto1.4
Teleop6.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed