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Red38
156119.6
175011.1
573017.2
Blue71
241023.1
161928.7
361213.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4954304060703871

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1561
#16
19.61.3
19.318.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.7
End6.2
blue by 9.1
28.72.3
21.623.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.9
End9.7
Second
5730
#14
17.21.3
14.713.4
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End2.3
blue by 5.9
23.12.3
18.220.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.7
End7.5
Third
1750
#52
11.11.3
12.511.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End2.1
blue by 2.1
3612
#33
13.22.3
10.913.1
Auto3.0
Teleop7.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed49%HAB Docking oddsEarned